Five brains read the model.
You read the disagreement.
Polyball runs Klement's 5-factor World Cup model through a five-LLM debate, then shows you exactly where it diverges from live Polymarket prices. The agent never trades for you. You decide. You execute.
Joachim Klement's 5-factor econometric model called the last three World Cup winners: Germany 2014, France 2018, Argentina 2022. For 2026 it favours the Netherlands. The market does not.
Three tournaments is a small sample. Klement calls it a lighthearted exercise. Polyball treats the model as one input blended against the market, never as ground truth.
Econometric core
A Monte Carlo simulation runs all 48 teams from the 5 factors into base probabilities for every market.
Five-brain debate
DeepSeek, Grok, Nemotron, MiMo and Claude argue each market. Disagreement is logged and shown, not hidden behind one confidence score.
You decide
See the edge versus live Polymarket prices, confirm the trade yourself, and execute with on-chain proof of transaction.
Hold $POLYBALL to install the MCP and run the cascade. Access is tiered by holdings and rate-limited per holder, because every query fans out to five paid models.
Public Burn Feed
Every 0.02 SOL fee collected by the protocol is transparently market-bought and burned. This persistent deflationary pressure is fully verifiable on-chain.
| Date | SOL Spent | $POLYBALL Burned | Burn TX |
|---|---|---|---|
| FETCHING LEDGER... | |||